Análisis Excelsior vs Heerenveen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 0
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2016 |
SCH
4 - 2
AZA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 2
SCH
30%
25%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 1
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 1
SCH
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 4
UTR
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |