Análisis Farense vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
34.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.34
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 0
FAR
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2020 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAR
31%
28%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2020 |
FAR
3 - 1
ACV
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 3
FAR
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 feb. 2020 |
FAR
3 - 1
OLI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 3
BOA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 1
BEN
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
ACA
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |