Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jun. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 1987 |
FCM
0 - 6
FCA
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 jun. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCM
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1987 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 jun. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jun. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
VEV
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 1987 |
VEV
1 - 1
LUG
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 may. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 5
BAS
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +15 |
| 17 may. 1980 |
GCZ
4 - 0
LUG
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |