Análisis Aarau vs FC Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.4%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 3
YVE
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 1992 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAD
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 0
YVE
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1992 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1992 |
YVE
2 - 2
LUG
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LOC
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |