Análisis Aarau vs Winterthur
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2001 |
NEX
3 - 2
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 0
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2001 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2001 |
WIN
2 - 4
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2001 |
WIN
1 - 2
NEX
52%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 3
WIN
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2001 |
WIN
1 - 2
STG
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2001 |
NEX
0 - 0
WIN
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |