Recopa de Europa Semifinal

Global 2-1

Análisis FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Benfica

FC Carl Zeiss Jena Benfica
89 ELO 88
4% Tilt 2.2%
1653º Ranking ELO general 103º
72º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.4%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
23.2%
Empate
19.4%
Benfica

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Benfica
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
+5%
+9%
Benfica

Progresión del ELO

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Benfica
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 mar. 1981
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1 - 1
FC Vorwärts Frankfurt
FVF
75%
16%
9%
88 81 7 0
21 mar. 1981
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 - 0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
45%
25%
30%
88 85 3 0
18 mar. 1981
NEW
Newport County
0 - 1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
22%
23%
54%
88 58 30 0
13 mar. 1981
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
5 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
78%
14%
8%
88 76 12 0
07 mar. 1981
HAL
Hallescher FC
0 - 1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
35%
26%
39%
88 83 5 0

Partidos

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 abr. 1981
SLB
Benfica
6 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
88%
9%
3%
88 63 25 0
29 mar. 1981
SAC
Sacavenense
0 - 4
Benfica
SLB
18%
24%
58%
88 41 47 0
22 mar. 1981
ACV
Academico Viseu
1 - 1
Benfica
SLB
8%
18%
75%
88 56 32 0
18 mar. 1981
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
71%
18%
11%
89 84 5 -1
14 mar. 1981
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Porto
FCP
63%
21%
16%
88 88 0 +1