Análisis Porto vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.02
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.8%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 1984 |
SAL
0 - 1
FCP
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1984 |
FCP
5 - 0
FAR
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1984 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
16%
30%
55%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1984 |
FCP
4 - 3
WRE
86%
10%
3%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 1984 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1984 |
VIZ
1 - 1
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 2
BEL
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 1984 |
SCP
3 - 0
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1984 |
VAR
4 - 0
PEN
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |