Análisis Utrecht vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.3
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1971 |
SPA
2 - 1
UTR
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1971 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1971 |
TWE
0 - 1
UTR
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 1971 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
29%
23%
49%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1971 |
BOS
1 - 4
UTR
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 1
FEY
9%
16%
75%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1971 |
MVV
3 - 0
EXC
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 1971 |
DWS
1 - 0
EXC
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1971 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |