Análisis Utrecht vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 0
UTR
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 7
UTR
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 1
VIT
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
SCH
4 - 1
UTR
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ago. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 2
WIL
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 0
TEL
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
EIN
0 - 3
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |