Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16

Global 1-1

Análisis Flamengo vs Fluminense

Flamengo Fluminense
83 ELO 80
1.4% Tilt 9.3%
57º Ranking ELO general 66º
Ranking ELO país 10º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
54.3%
Flamengo
23.9%
Empate
21.7%
Fluminense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.3%
Probabilidad gana
Flamengo
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Probabilidad gana
Fluminense
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Flamengo
+3%
-1%
Fluminense

Progresión del ELO

Flamengo
Fluminense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 ago. 2009
AVA
Avaí
3 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
31%
26%
43%
84 75 9 0
21 ago. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Cruzeiro
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
84 85 1 0
16 ago. 2009
GRE
Grêmio
4 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
44%
26%
30%
84 84 0 0
13 ago. 2009
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
39%
26%
35%
85 81 4 -1
09 ago. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Corinthians
COR
49%
25%
26%
84 85 1 +1

Partidos

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 ago. 2009
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 0
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
80 71 9 0
20 ago. 2009
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
58%
23%
19%
80 87 7 0
16 ago. 2009
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 3
Coritiba
COT
57%
24%
19%
80 75 5 0
13 ago. 2009
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
39%
26%
35%
81 85 4 -1
09 ago. 2009
VIT
Vitória
2 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
42%
25%
33%
81 75 6 0
X