Análisis Fluminense vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 1996 |
FLU
2 - 2
ATM
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1996 |
COT
3 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 0
GOI
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1996 |
SPO
6 - 0
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 1996 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLU
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 1996 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1996 |
ATM
4 - 1
BAH
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 sep. 1996 |
BAH
0 - 0
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1996 |
BAH
1 - 2
CRZ
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1996 |
GOI
0 - 0
BAH
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |