Análisis Fluminense vs Flamengo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 1977 |
CON
1 - 0
FLU
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 1977 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLU
38%
29%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1977 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLU
15%
23%
62%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 1
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1977 |
FLU
6 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Partidos
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 nov. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 1
VOL
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1977 |
SER
1 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 6
FLA
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1977 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLA
35%
30%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |