Análisis Fluminense vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 1986 |
FLU
0 - 0
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 1986 |
FLU
2 - 0
GOI
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 1986 |
FLU
1 - 0
FLA
43%
27%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 1986 |
CEN
1 - 5
FLU
16%
24%
59%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1986 |
GOI
1 - 2
FLU
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 1986 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1986 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 1986 |
GRE
4 - 2
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 1986 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRE
30%
28%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |