Análisis Fortaleza EC vs ABC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-26%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 ago. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 ago. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 ago. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 0
ABC
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
PPE
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 ago. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 ago. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
CAM
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |