Recopa de Europa Semifinal
Global 4-3
Análisis Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Baník Ostrava
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
70.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.53
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 1979 |
F95
2 - 2
EBT
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1979 |
F95
3 - 3
FCN
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1979 |
KAI
3 - 0
F95
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1979 |
SER
1 - 1
F95
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1979 |
F95
4 - 0
DAR
69%
18%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 1979 |
BAN
4 - 2
MAG
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1979 |
MAG
2 - 1
BAN
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1978 |
SHR
1 - 3
BAN
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 oct. 1978 |
BAN
3 - 0
SHR
79%
13%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1978 |
BAN
1 - 0
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |