Análisis Grêmio vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 2010 |
PAL
4 - 2
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
COR
56%
23%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 3
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
GRE
30%
25%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 0
VAS
47%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2010 |
CRZ
2 - 2
AVA
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
AVA
6 - 1
GRÊ
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 0
JEC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 3
AVA
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |