Análisis Grêmio vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2008 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
60%
24%
17%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 3
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
GRE
20%
24%
57%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2008 |
FLU
0 - 2
NAU
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2008 |
NAU
2 - 1
GOI
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 0
NAU
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 abr. 2008 |
NAU
3 - 2
ATM
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |