Análisis Grêmio vs Palmeiras
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29.6%
Empate
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
25.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 1993 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
45%
29%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1993 |
GRE
3 - 2
FLU
44%
29%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 jun. 1993 |
CRZ
2 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1993 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRZ
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1993 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1993 |
PAL
3 - 0
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1993 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1993 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 1993 |
PAL
1 - 1
GRE
57%
22%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1993 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |