Análisis Hércules vs Deportivo Alavés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 1955 |
SEV
6 - 1
HER
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1955 |
RMA
3 - 0
HER
85%
10%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1955 |
HER
4 - 1
RSO
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 ene. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 0
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1954 |
HER
4 - 2
DEP
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ene. 1955 |
ALA
0 - 1
RSO
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALA
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1955 |
ALA
2 - 1
DEP
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 ene. 1955 |
FCB
5 - 2
ALA
92%
6%
3%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 dic. 1954 |
ALA
2 - 2
ATH
21%
21%
58%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |