Análisis Hércules vs Elche
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.98
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.9%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
6.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1942 |
MAL
4 - 1
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1942 |
HER
2 - 0
CAD
74%
15%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1942 |
HER
1 - 1
SDC
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 0
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 1942 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALC
50%
21%
29%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1942 |
MUR
4 - 0
ELC
77%
13%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 1
JFC
42%
23%
36%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 1942 |
SDC
2 - 0
ELC
75%
14%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 1942 |
MAL
2 - 1
ELC
77%
13%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |