Análisis Hércules vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
38.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
ATM
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1941 |
CAS
4 - 0
HER
30%
22%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 1941 |
HER
4 - 1
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 1941 |
SEV
7 - 2
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 1941 |
HER
4 - 2
DEP
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
CAS
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1941 |
OVI
1 - 3
ESP
55%
19%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
59%
19%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 0
ESP
28%
21%
52%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1941 |
ESP
5 - 2
FCB
59%
19%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |