Análisis Hércules vs Talavera CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.62
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.5%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1976 |
FCB
1 - 1
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1976 |
HER
1 - 0
CON
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1976 |
HER
0 - 0
ATH
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1976 |
SLA
1 - 0
HER
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 1976 |
TUD
0 - 0
TAL
68%
21%
11%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1976 |
TAL
2 - 1
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 1976 |
TAL
3 - 1
GIM
88%
9%
3%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1976 |
TAL
2 - 2
RMC
45%
30%
26%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1976 |
CFP
3 - 1
TAL
69%
21%
10%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |