Análisis Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
50%
23%
28%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1963 |
HER
6 - 1
CFC
72%
15%
13%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1963 |
PUL
1 - 1
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1963 |
HER
3 - 1
SFE
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 ene. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 1963 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAD
55%
22%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1963 |
MUR
3 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 1963 |
VAL
3 - 1
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 1963 |
GRA
6 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDT
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |