Análisis Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2002 |
BUR
2 - 0
HER
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
VIL
16%
23%
62%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 sep. 2002 |
LLE
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2002 |
ORI
0 - 0
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2002 |
HER
3 - 0
LLE
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2002 |
ORI
1 - 2
VAL
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2002 |
VAL
4 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 jun. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 0
MER
61%
20%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 jun. 2002 |
MER
0 - 0
VAL
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 jun. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 1
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |