Análisis Hermann Aichinger vs Avaí
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2009 |
MET
1 - 1
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2009 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
JEC
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
TUB
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 0
JEC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 1
AVA
62%
20%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 ene. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 0
TUB
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 2009 |
CRI
4 - 2
AVA
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2009 |
AVA
1 - 0
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |