Análisis Hermann Aichinger vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2009 |
AVA
3 - 1
HER
65%
20%
14%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 4
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2009 |
JEC
4 - 1
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
FFL
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
JEC
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2009 |
FFL
2 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
TUB
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2009 |
CRI
6 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |