Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Montehermoso
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+60%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 3
HER
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
ACD
77%
16%
8%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 2
HER
32%
28%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
OLY
70%
18%
11%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 4
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
SRE
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
ADC
2 - 1
MON
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 4
CPC
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |