Análisis Hernán Cortés vs Trujillo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-52%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 2
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 0
MAL
56%
23%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
CPC
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 1
SAG
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2010 |
TRU
5 - 1
GAR
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 4
TRU
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2010 |
TRU
0 - 3
CPC
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 2010 |
CAS
5 - 1
TRU
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2010 |
TRU
1 - 1
CHI
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |