Análisis Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1996 |
GLP
3 - 2
IND
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1996 |
RAC
1 - 1
IND
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1996 |
IND
1 - 1
BOC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1996 |
RIV
1 - 4
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 1996 |
GRE
4 - 1
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1996 |
RAC
1 - 1
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1996 |
EST
3 - 1
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1996 |
CEN
2 - 3
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 1996 |
EST
2 - 2
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 1996 |
VEL
1 - 2
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |