Análisis Independiente vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 1
IND
23%
30%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
BAN
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2013 |
HUR
0 - 1
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
IRV
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2013 |
ATT
2 - 1
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2013 |
SAR
4 - 1
FER
49%
28%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 1
GIM
58%
26%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2013 |
SPB
0 - 2
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
CDN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |