Análisis Internacional vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
SCI
27%
26%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 0
SCI
34%
25%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
SCI
0 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2009 |
SCI
1 - 1
UCH
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 0
SCI
32%
25%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAO
27%
27%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
NAU
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 0
ATM
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
GRE
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |