Análisis Lazio vs Novara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.89
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.1%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 1938 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
58%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
60%
20%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GEN
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 1938 |
NOV
1 - 3
BOL
26%
23%
50%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 2
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 1938 |
NOV
2 - 0
BAR
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 1938 |
GEN
3 - 1
NOV
78%
13%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1938 |
NOV
0 - 1
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |