Análisis Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs CA Lugano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2006 |
CBA
1 - 0
ALE
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
ALE
0 - 1
LIN
52%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 ago. 2006 |
BER
3 - 4
ALE
59%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
ALE
2 - 0
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 jul. 2006 |
CAA
0 - 0
ALE
52%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 1
PUE
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
CLA
1 - 1
LUG
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2006 |
YUP
1 - 2
LUG
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 ago. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 0
CBA
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |