Análisis Lecce vs Parma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 1
BOL
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1998 |
VIC
1 - 3
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 mar. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 1
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1998 |
NAP
2 - 4
LEC
63%
22%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 1998 |
PAR
3 - 1
NAP
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1998 |
PAR
1 - 2
FIO
49%
26%
26%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 1998 |
ROM
2 - 2
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 2
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1998 |
EMP
2 - 0
PAR
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |