Análisis Libertad vs Cerro Porteño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
12O
1 - 4
LIB
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 0
TOL
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 0
RIV
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 oct. 2003 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2004 |
CCP
1 - 1
LQE
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 3
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2003 |
TAC
0 - 1
CCP
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2003 |
CCP
2 - 0
SPC
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 2
CCP
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |