Análisis Liestal vs Concordia Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 2
LIE
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 2
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 4
LIE
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 1
TAV
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
BIN
2 - 3
LIE
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 1
CON
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2016 |
CON
2 - 3
LAN
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 4
MOU
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
TAV
2 - 1
CON
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |