Análisis Lucena vs Almería B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 2
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 nov. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 0
LUC
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
GUA
26%
28%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
PAL
63%
20%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
ECI
0 - 1
ALM
45%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 nov. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
ALG
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2013 |
CAD
3 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |