Análisis Lucena vs At. Cortegana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 abr. 2003 |
VVA
1 - 0
LUC
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 2
LUC
24%
25%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2003 |
LUC
0 - 1
JER
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2003 |
LUC
0 - 0
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
At. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 abr. 2003 |
ATC
1 - 1
AGU
19%
26%
56%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2003 |
REC
1 - 0
ATC
58%
24%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2003 |
ATC
0 - 0
SFE
31%
28%
41%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2003 |
DHE
3 - 1
ATC
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2003 |
ATC
2 - 0
BAR
26%
27%
47%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +3 |