Análisis Lucchese Libertas vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 0
ASL
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 1
ASS
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 2
VER
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 1953 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 1953 |
TRE
1 - 0
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1953 |
MES
3 - 0
ATP
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 1
MES
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 1953 |
ACM
0 - 0
MES
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |