Análisis CD Lugo vs Gran Peña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.14
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.3%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-52%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 1962 |
LEM
1 - 2
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1962 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1962 |
MAR
0 - 2
LUG
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 1962 |
LUG
5 - 2
ARO
86%
10%
5%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1962 |
ATO
2 - 0
LUG
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 1962 |
GRA
5 - 0
VIV
74%
15%
10%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1962 |
COX
2 - 0
GRA
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 1962 |
GRA
0 - 1
ALO
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 1962 |
GRA
1 - 2
ATO
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 1962 |
DEP
0 - 0
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |