Análisis Luna vs Alera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.98
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.8%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-81%
-79%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Luna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUN
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2024 |
PUY
0 - 5
LUN
20%
20%
61%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 2023 |
LUN
2 - 1
MCD
79%
12%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 2023 |
LUN
1 - 2
EBC
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2023 |
BAR
7 - 0
LUN
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -2 |
Partidos
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 1
BIO
37%
21%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
ALE
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2023 |
ALE
3 - 5
PUY
36%
22%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 1
MCD
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2023 |
EBC
3 - 1
ALE
65%
17%
18%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |