Liga Suiza Jor. 33

Análisis Luzern vs Aarau

Luzern Aarau
75 ELO 64
14.2% Tilt 8.8%
283º Ranking ELO general 731º
Ranking ELO país 15º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
67.6%
Luzern
19.6%
Empate
12.8%
Aarau

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
Luzern
2.07
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
Aarau
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Luzern
-8%
-1%
Aarau

Progresión del ELO

Luzern
Aarau
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 abr. 2010
FCL
Luzern
4 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
74 82 8 0
18 abr. 2010
BAS
Basel
5 - 0
Luzern
FCL
73%
16%
11%
74 85 11 0
14 abr. 2010
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Sion
SIO
47%
25%
28%
74 76 2 0
11 abr. 2010
STG
St. Gallen
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
49%
25%
26%
74 77 3 0
03 abr. 2010
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
52%
24%
23%
74 74 0 0

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 abr. 2010
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
24%
25%
51%
63 77 14 0
17 abr. 2010
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
73%
18%
10%
62 83 21 +1
13 abr. 2010
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
29%
27%
43%
61 74 13 +1
10 abr. 2010
SIO
Sion
4 - 0
Aarau
FCA
69%
20%
11%
62 76 14 -1
03 abr. 2010
FCA
Aarau
1 - 5
Young Boys
YOB
12%
19%
69%
63 85 22 -1