Análisis Mainz 05 vs Bayreuth SpVgg
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.35
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1974 |
SVS
2 - 2
M05
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1974 |
M05
2 - 3
SGF
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 5
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 1974 |
STP
8 - 3
M05
63%
18%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 1974 |
M05
1 - 2
SAA
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1974 |
AUG
3 - 0
BAY
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1974 |
BAY
0 - 0
SVS
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1974 |
SGF
1 - 1
BAY
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1974 |
BAY
2 - 0
VFR
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 1974 |
SAA
4 - 1
BAY
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |