Champions League . Cuartos
Global 8-3
Análisis Manchester United vs Roma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2007 |
OPA
2 - 1
MUD
15%
23%
62%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 1
MUD
29%
26%
45%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2007 |
MUD
4 - 1
BBU
71%
19%
11%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2007 |
MUD
1 - 0
MID
78%
16%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2007 |
MUD
4 - 1
BOL
71%
18%
10%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2007 |
CAT
0 - 2
ROM
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2007 |
ROM
2 - 1
MUD
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2007 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
FIO
0 - 0
ROM
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
ROM
3 - 1
UDI
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |