Análisis UD Melilla vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
CSP
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 2
MUR
29%
29%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
MEL
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 2
ELD
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
MUR
19%
26%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2022 |
HER
3 - 1
MAN
70%
20%
10%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
ELD
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2022 |
NUC
1 - 1
MAN
66%
23%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
CDE
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |