Análisis UD Melilla vs CD San Fernando
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
G74
1 - 1
MEL
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 0
ROQ
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
MEL
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 0
ECI
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
UBC
24%
26%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 2
G74
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2009 |
ROQ
3 - 0
SFE
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |