Análisis Mercadal vs Penya Ciutadella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
83.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.9
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.2%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2021 |
MER
2 - 0
SAM
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
MER
18%
22%
61%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2021 |
MER
2 - 1
ALA
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 3
MER
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 mar. 2021 |
MNC
0 - 2
MER
12%
20%
69%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 1
PCE
68%
18%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2021 |
PCE
4 - 2
ALA
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 abr. 2021 |
PCE
1 - 7
MNC
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 abr. 2021 |
MNC
1 - 0
PCE
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2021 |
PCE
2 - 0
UDM
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |