Análisis ACR Messina vs Lecco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.3%
Empate
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
25.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1967 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1967 |
PIS
5 - 0
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 1967 |
VNZ
2 - 0
MES
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 sep. 1967 |
RPO
3 - 2
MES
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 18 jun. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1967 |
LEC
0 - 1
PIS
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
57%
25%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 1967 |
VER
1 - 0
LEC
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 jun. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACM
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |