Análisis ACR Messina vs Como
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29.3%
Empate
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 1958 |
NAP
5 - 0
MES
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1958 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
35%
23%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1958 |
MES
2 - 1
COM
41%
31%
28%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 may. 1958 |
MES
0 - 1
BRE
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1958 |
TAR
1 - 2
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 1958 |
FED
1 - 0
COM
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 23 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 1958 |
COM
0 - 3
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 1958 |
COM
2 - 1
ASS
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 jun. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 1
COM
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 1958 |
INT
4 - 0
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |