Análisis ACR Messina vs Lecce
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1986 |
PES
1 - 1
MES
51%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
43%
29%
29%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1986 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 1
MES
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 0
LAZ
51%
29%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1987 |
USC
0 - 0
LEC
56%
27%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1986 |
CES
3 - 0
LEC
48%
29%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
VIC
48%
28%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 dic. 1986 |
GEN
3 - 2
LEC
54%
28%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |